SandRidge Energy (SD)

I screened a stock on Monday named SandRidge Energy (SD) in a post titled, My Latest Stock Watchlist and noted that it made just about every screen I ran over the weekend. I looked back at scans from earlier in the year and it did make a few of them but didn’t grab my attention until now.

SD – 44.28, made almost every screen I ran this week (buy near $40)

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Stock of the Day
Sandridge Energy Inc. (SD)
Monday’s Closing Price: YGE – $44.38

Sector: Oil & Gas
Industry: Oil and Gas Production
52-week Price: $28.50 – $45.40

SandRidge is an independent natural gas and oil company with its principal focus on exploration, development and production activities. The Company also owns and operates drilling rigs and a related oil field services company with focus on exploration and exploitation of its significant holdings in West Texas. SandRidge operates in four segments: exploration and production, drilling and oil field services, midstream gas services and other.

The stock recently logged a new all-time high on increasing volume as it broke-out above the ideal entry area of $41.15. Unfortunately for me, it broke out during the week of my vacation (and return). I can’t say that I would have bought shares but I am interested now. I understand that crude is selling at all-time highs and some people are calling for a top but I am not about to listen to them. Money is still to be made in this industry. By the way, SandRidge is in the #1 rated industry group as produced by Investor’s Business Daily.

Net income was 137% higher than a year ago (3rd quarter) with revenue increasing by 71% during the same time period. Natural gas and crude-oil production jumped nearly five-fold. Shares closed at $31.20 ahead of the 3rd quarter report; it has since given investors a 40%+ gain in a few months.

SD is starting to outperform a few of the top stocks in the top rated industry group, something I do make note of. For example, SD is up 24% YTD as the industry groups as a whole is up 18% YTD. As you will notice, SD shares company with some very respectable names (stocks).

Sister Stocks (Top Rated Industry by IBD):
Range Resources Corp – RRC
Continental Res Inc. – CLR
Quicksilver Resources – KWK
Bois D’Arc Energy LLC – BDE
Petrohawk Energy Corp – HK

Potential Trade Set-up:
Ideal Entry: $41.15
Risk is set at 1.0% of total portfolio or $1,000 of $100k
Stop Loss is 10% or $37.04 (breathing room to $36 is okay)
Number of Shares: 243
Position Size is $10,000
Risk is $4.12
Target is $55+ (based on future growth)
Reward-to-Risk is 3.36-to-1 with ideal entry; less with current price

Continue reading to see the impressive institutional numbers, general fundamental numbers and basic technical analysis that make this stock stand above other recent IPO’s. Net income, revenue, earnings and industry (global) growth make this an ideal stock for my watchlist. I am looking for young companies with increasing earnings and sales.

Institutional Analysis:
Held By Institutions: 38.07%
Total Held by Institutions: 269
Money Market: 123
Mutual Fund: 143
Other: 3

New Positions: 229
Positions Sold: 8
Shares Held: 64.4M
Shares Held Previous Period: 5.8M

Shares Bought: 59.4M
Shares Sold: 0.77M
Value of Shares Bought: $2.3B
Value of Shares Sold: $29.9M

Top Institutional holders; Shares Held:
Ares Management LLC; 13,333,333
Lone Pine Capital, LLC; 6,557,039
Farallon Capital Management LLC; 5,771,010
Janus Capital Management, LLC; 3,545,082
Janus Contrarian Fund; 2,424,071

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Key Fundamental Numbers:
Market Cap.: 6.3B
Outstanding Shares: 142.7M
Float: 102.8M
P/E (TTM): N/A
PEG Ratio: N/A
Total Debt/Total Capital: 32.50%
Quick Ratio: 0.96x
Operating Profit Margin: 27.58%
Gross Profit Margin: 76.01%
Net Profit Margin: 7.37%

1-yr EPS Rate: 118%
1-yr Sales Rate: 72%
5-yr EPS Rate: 91%
5-yr Sales Rate: 63%

EPS Growth (MRQ): 141.96%
Revenue Growth (MRQ): 72.49%

Net Income (millions):
FY 2007: 50
FY 2006: 16
FY 2005: 18
FY 2004: 25
FY 2003: 13

Revenue (millions):
FY 2007: 659
FY 2006: 363
FY 2005: 277
FY 2004: 172
FY 2003: 155

Earnings:
FY 2009: $0.64E
FY 2008: $0.44E
FY 2007: ($0.06) – Estimates were for $0.03

Comments

  1. What source do you use to tabulate all this financial and institutional info? IBD gives some of this, but I have to go to three different sources to get everything you listed.

    Thanks in advance and more importantly, thank you for this website.

  2. John Egan says

    Hey Chris..

    Re: Sandridge;

    Aren’t you a little concerned that 38% of the stock ownership is funds? Although it is still early and there is no ‘window dressing period’ immediately, I’d be concerned about a potential sell-off at mid year so the funds look better at reporting time… Particularly as we still seem to be bearishly inclined..

    Thx jegan 😉

  3. Dave,
    Premium Stock Graphs service of IBD displays almost all(not 100% sure but I know 90% of the info are on it) of those financial and institutional info.

  4. Dave,
    I use multiple sites as well. I use my brokerage site TDAmeritrade for financials and Vickers for institutional. I occasionally use IBD for minor things in these posts.

  5. John E,
    38% is slightly higher than what I like. I love stocks that have anywhere from 10% to 30% fund ownership. Solid growth stocks can go from 30% to 70% within 6-12 months. That’s when prices move as the smart money fights to grab shares.

  6. Lam,
    I only use custom screen wizard from Daily Graphs, not the charts. I go a la carte with their packages.

  7. madhatter says

    Lone Pine is one of the great value hedge funds out there, ran by Mandel (ex Tiger management). Lone Pine originally showed a position in this back in March. And since they’re in it, its most likely headed higher haha

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